As an investment, it can go rather wildly up and down in value. Of course, the only time you really know the value is when you find a buyer.  It makes no difference how the value fluctuates after you buy it until you are ready to sell (except for property tax reasons).

As the U.S. economy has taken off the past two years the Federal Reserve Board decided to try to slow it slow it down by raising interest rates over fear of inflation in excess of 2%. While there is a lot of great economic news and more take home pay (due to tax cuts) for 90% of Americans, rising mortgage rates will negatively impact home values.  I expect the higher interest rates will slow the economy down and there won’t be much more of an increase on rates.

It would be exciting to see a home price ticker above your front door during boom times (most of the past 20 years), but right now many sellers are feeling the pain of higher mortgage rates.  The pain is caused by the fact your home value drops as mortgage rates for potential buyers go up. Some people in expensive neighborhoods have dropped their sale price by over $100,000 and still haven’t found a buyer. Ugh.

When most buyers look at how much house they can afford to buy, it comes down to what can they afford (loan payment plus property tax and insurance) on a monthly basis. Obviously, using a higher mortgage rate in that equation means the monthly loan payment goes up with higher mortgage rates.

Let’s look at a 30-year loan payments with different loan amounts and mortgage rates.

30-YearLoan AmountMonthly P&I increase compared to 3% loan rate
Mortgage Rate100,000$250,000$400,000$600,000 
3%$421$1,052$1,684$2,526
4%$477$1,192$1,908$2,86213.3%
5%$537$1,342$2,148$3,22227.5%
6%$600$1,500$2,400$3,60042.5%
P&I means principal and interest payment on mortgage loan.

Many current homeowners either bought or refinanced their home loans with mortgage rates in the 3%+ area.

This might make current homeowners a little less excited to buy a more expensive home as taking on a bigger loan with a higher interest rate is a double whammy.

A big reason for the housing price boom the past couple of decades was mortgage rates just kept going lower and lower. That meant people could afford larger mortgage loans, due to lower mortgage interest rate, the monthly cost of the bigger mortgage loan was minimal. Hence the boom in home prices.

Trading up to a bigger home and mortgage loan was cheap!

Now we have the opposite impact as rates go up.

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